UNLV @ Air Force, Week 7 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·Air ForceAF0–0·MWC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UNLV a 56% chance.
SeriesAir Force leads 18–8 · UNLV won the last meeting, 51–48 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge AF
Model projection UNLV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UNLV @ Air Force
Your sims:Sims: UNLV 0, AF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UNLV
UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lvs Memphis27–21UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UNLV vs Air Force Stats ComparisonUNLV vs Air Force Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UNLVUNLV | Air ForceAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 34.1#17 | PPG | 29.8#48 |
| 28#89 | PA/G | 30.3#109 |
| 446.8#21 | YDS/G | 406.7#46 |
| 250.9#42 | PASS/G | 145.2#128 |
| 195.9#23 | RUSH/G | 261.5#3 |
| 6.8#11 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 45.2%#28 | 3RD DOWN | 51.0%#7 |
| 0.30#17 | OFF PPA | 0.29#20 |
| 0.21#111 | DEF PPA | 0.40#136 |
| 46.6%#23 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.6%#14 |
| 44.1%#104 | DEF SUCCESS | 49.4%#134 |
| 15.4% | RET PROD | 57.4% |
| 1.36#14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| +7#21 | TO MARGIN | −2#81 |
| 3.6 | SP+ | -3.2 |
| 1.8#58 | FPI | -6.8#93 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Falcon StadiumLocationColorado Springs, CO
Capacity46,692
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation6,643 ft
FAN NEWS
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