UTSA @ Texas, Week 3 · 2026
@#5
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StreamingSECN+
UTSA radioRoadrunner Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UTSA a 5% chance.
SeriesTexas leads 2–0 · Texas won the last meeting, 56–7 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TEX
Home-field edge TEX
Model projection TEX
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UTSA @ Texas
Your sims:Sims: UTSA 0, TEX 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UTSA vs Texas Stats ComparisonUTSA vs Texas Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UTSAUTSA | TexasTEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.5#14 | PPG | 30.5#41 |
| 28.8#91 | PA/G | 20.3#28 |
| 421.3#28 | YDS/G | 388.7#69 |
| 247.2#46 | PASS/G | 250.7#44 |
| 174.1#52 | RUSH/G | 138#90 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 39.7%#70 | 3RD DOWN | 39.2%#75 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | +14#4 |
| 0.20#43 | OFF PPA | 0.18#57 |
| 0.14#58 | DEF PPA | 0.10#40 |
| 43.9%#47 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.5%#93 |
| 38.0%#29 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.2%#43 |
| 66.9% | RET PROD | 72.1% |
| 1.32#30 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37#13 |
| -1.1 | SP+ | 22.8 |
| -5.3#88 | FPI | 26.9#2 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
DKR-Texas Memorial StadiumLocationAustin, TX
Capacity100,119
SurfaceTurf
Opened1924
Elevation526 ft
FAN NEWS
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