GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·StreamingESPN+
WEB radioWeber State Radio
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Arizona a 75% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 9–9 since 2004 · Weber State won the last meeting, 48–28 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) NAU
Home-field edge NAU
Model projection NAU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Weber State @ Northern Arizona
Your sims:Sims: NAU 0, WEB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona2026: 6–2
Wvs Portland State38–25Wvs Montana49–44Wat Idaho State38–31
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Weber State vs Northern Arizona Stats ComparisonWeber State vs NAU Stats Comparison
| Weber StateWEB | Northern ArizonaNAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.9 | PPG | 31.6 |
| 34.6 | PA/G | 30.1 |
| 427.7 | YDS/G | 397.5 |
| 243.9 | PASS/G | 245.1 |
| 183.8 | RUSH/G | 152.4 |
| 6.2 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2 |
| 41.2% | 3RD DOWN | 34.7% |
| 0.10 | OFF PPA | 0.13 |
| 0.12 | DEF PPA | 0.19 |
| 42.7% | OFF SUCCESS | 45.9% |
| 42.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 52.3% |
| 1.33 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16 |
| −9 | TO MARGIN | +10 |
| -32.5 | SRS | -25.6 |
THE VENUE
Walkup SkydomeLocationFlagstaff, AZ
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1977
Elevation6,883 ft
FAN NEWS
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