GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·StreamingESPN+
WEB radioWeber State Radio
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Arizona a 71% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 9–9 · Weber State won the last meeting, 48–28 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) NAU
Home-field edge NAU
Model projection NAU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Weber State @ Northern Arizona
Your sims:Sims: NAU 0, WEB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Weber State vs Northern Arizona Stats ComparisonWeber State vs NAU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Weber StateWEB | Northern ArizonaNAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | PPG | 20.5 |
| 38 | PA/G | 31 |
| 417 | YDS/G | 279 |
| 257.5 | PASS/G | 182 |
| 159.5 | RUSH/G | 97 |
| 6.3 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7 |
| 48.3% | 3RD DOWN | 29.6% |
| 0.28 | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| 42.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 33.3% |
| 47.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 52.3% |
| 1.38 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | -0.01 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Walkup SkydomeLocationFlagstaff, AZ
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1977
Elevation6,883 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Weber State or Northern Arizona?
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