West Georgia @ Arkansas State, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ARST
Home-field edge ARST
Model projection ARST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
West Georgia @ Arkansas State
Your sims:Sims: ARST 0, WGA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Arkansas State
Lat Memphis42–24
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelARST 83%MarketARST 91%
Market 8 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $750 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
West Georgia vs Arkansas State Stats ComparisonWest Georgia vs ARST Stats Comparison
| West GeorgiaWGA | Arkansas StateARST | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | PPG | 24 |
| 35.5 | PA/G | 42 |
| 189.5 | YDS/G | 434 |
| 146 | PASS/G | 325 |
| 43.5 | RUSH/G | 109 |
| 3.8 | YDS/PLAY | 7.4 |
| 8.7% | 3RD DOWN | 50.0% |
| 0.18 | DEF PPA | 0.49 |
| 23.8% | OFF SUCCESS | 50.0% |
| 48.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 49.2% |
| 1.01 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
| -0.12 | OFF PPA | 0.13 |
| – | RET PROD | 30.0% |
| – | ELO | 1353 |
| – | SP+ | -15.1 |
| – | FPI | -10.7#111 |
THE VENUE
Centennial Bank StadiumLocationJonesboro, AR
Capacity30,382
SurfaceTurf
Opened1974
Elevation294 ft
FAN NEWS
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