Youngstown State @ South Dakota State, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StreamingESPN+
YSU radioPenguin Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Youngstown State a 38% chance.
SeriesSouth Dakota State leads 15–3 · South Dakota State won the last meeting, 35–30 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
YSU win
38% One-score game
35%
38% One-score game
35%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SDST
Home-field edge SDST
Model projection SDST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Youngstown St @ South Dakota St
Your sims:Sims: YSU 0, SDST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Youngstown State vs South Dakota State Stats ComparisonYSU vs SDST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Youngstown StateYSU | South Dakota StateSDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | PPG | 44 |
| 27.5 | PA/G | 20.5 |
| 394.5 | YDS/G | 530 |
| 239 | PASS/G | 260 |
| 155.5 | RUSH/G | 270 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 7.4 |
| 60.7% | 3RD DOWN | 46.4% |
| 0.25 | OFF PPA | 0.38 |
| 0.26 | DEF PPA | 0.11 |
| 48.1% | OFF SUCCESS | 49.3% |
| 46.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 42.4% |
| 1.21 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Dana J. Dykhouse StadiumLocationBrookings, SD
Capacity19,340
SurfaceTurf
Opened2016
Elevation1,627 ft
FAN NEWS
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