Youngstown State @ Southern Illinois, Week 5 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 5 · ·StreamingESPN+
YSU radioPenguin Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Youngstown State a 36% chance.
SeriesYoungstown State leads 12–11 · Youngstown State won the last meeting, 48–38 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
YSU win
36% One-score game
35%
36% One-score game
35%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SIU
Home-field edge SIU
Model projection SIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Youngstown St @ Southern Illinois
Your sims:Sims: YSU 0, SIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Youngstown State vs Southern Illinois Stats ComparisonYSU vs SIU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Youngstown StateYSU | Southern IllinoisSIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | PPG | 26.5 |
| 27.5 | PA/G | 26 |
| 394.5 | YDS/G | 368.5 |
| 239 | PASS/G | 170 |
| 155.5 | RUSH/G | 198.5 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9 |
| 60.7% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| 0.25 | OFF PPA | 0.12 |
| 0.26 | DEF PPA | 0.12 |
| 48.1% | OFF SUCCESS | 36.4% |
| 46.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 36.7% |
| 1.21 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.61 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Saluki StadiumLocationCarbondale, IL
Capacity15,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2010
Elevation416 ft
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