Arizona State @ Arizona, Week 13 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDASU radioSun Devil Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Arizona State opens a 4.5-point underdog. Our model gives Arizona State a 39% chance.
SeriesArizona State leads 45–43–1 · Arizona won the last meeting, 23–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge ARIZ
Market lean ARIZ
Model projection ARIZ
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Arizona State @ Arizona
Your sims:Sims: ASU 0, ARIZ 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADASU +4.5ARIZ −4.5
TOTALOver 52.5Under 52.5
MONEYLINEASU +170ARIZ −205
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Arizona State vs Arizona Stats ComparisonASU vs Arizona Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Arizona StateASU | ArizonaARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.8#81 | PPG | 31.5#30 |
| 24.5#65 | PA/G | 19.3#21 |
| 416.6#32 | YDS/G | 407.9#42 |
| 223.7#69 | PASS/G | 255.2#36 |
| 192.9#27 | RUSH/G | 152.7#75 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 32.6%#125 | 3RD DOWN | 41.0%#53 |
| 0.13#89 | OFF PPA | 0.17#67 |
| 0.10#44 | DEF PPA | 0.07#25 |
| 39.8%#103 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.6%#66 |
| 40.8%#58 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.9%#27 |
| 15.5% | RET PROD | 64.9% |
| 1.27#49 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#51 |
| 4.9 | SP+ | 9.5 |
| 4.8#44 | FPI | 7.2#34 |
| −6#108 | TO MARGIN | +18#2 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Arizona StadiumLocationTucson, AZ
Capacity50,782
SurfaceTurf
Opened1928
Elevation2,435 ft
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