GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·UAPB radioLion Sports Network
TXSO radioTiger Sports Network / KTSU
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Texas Southern a 72% chance.
SeriesTexas Southern leads 10–8 · Texas Southern won the last meeting, 51–7 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
TXSO win
72% One-score game
32%
72% One-score game
32%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) TXSO
Home-field edge TXSO
Model projection TXSO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Southern
Your sims:Sims: TXSO 0, UAPB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Texas Southern Stats ComparisonUAPB vs TXSO Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Arkansas-Pine BluffUAPB | Texas SouthernTXSO | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.5 | PPG | 28 |
| 34.5 | PA/G | 41 |
| 292 | YDS/G | 390 |
| 170.5 | PASS/G | 143.5 |
| 121.5 | RUSH/G | 246.5 |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9 |
| 20.0% | 3RD DOWN | 42.9% |
| 0.18 | OFF PPA | 0.15 |
| 0.28 | DEF PPA | 0.08 |
| 34.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.3% |
| 50.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 43.0% |
| 1.75 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
BBVA Compass StadiumLocationHouston, TX
Capacity22,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2012
Elevation45 ft
FAN NEWS
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