Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas, Week 12 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·StreamingESPN+
APSU radioGovs Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Austin Peay a 61% chance.
SeriesCentral Arkansas leads 4–2 · Austin Peay won the last meeting, 41–38 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) APSU
Home-field edge CARK
Model projection APSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas
Your sims:Sims: APSU 0, CARK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Austin Peay vs Central Arkansas Stats ComparisonAustin Peay vs CARK Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Austin PeayAPSU | Central ArkansasCARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | PPG | 25 |
| 22.5 | PA/G | 33 |
| 330.5 | YDS/G | 409 |
| 212 | PASS/G | 220 |
| 118.5 | RUSH/G | 189 |
| 5.8 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3 |
| 21.7% | 3RD DOWN | 52.0% |
| 0.18 | OFF PPA | 0.17 |
| 0.15 | DEF PPA | 0.23 |
| 36.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 46.9% |
| 45.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 38.4% |
| 1.61 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Estes StadiumLocationConway, AR
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1939
Elevation309 ft
FAN NEWS
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