Cal Poly @ San José State, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
San José State opens a 20.5-point favorite. Our model gives San José State a 90% chance.
SeriesSan José State leads 6–2 · San José State won the last meeting, 59–3 · 2023
What's driving the model
Home-field edge SJSU
Market lean SJSU
Model projection SJSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Cal Poly @ San José State
Your sims:Sims: SJSU 0, CP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADCP +20.5SJSU −20.5
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
MONEYLINECP +1100SJSU −2100
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Cal Poly vs San José State Stats ComparisonCal Poly vs SJSU Stats Comparison
| Cal PolyCP | San José StateSJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | PPG | 26.5 |
| 25.5 | PA/G | 31.5 |
| 450 | YDS/G | 394.5 |
| 261.5 | PASS/G | 275 |
| 188.5 | RUSH/G | 119.5 |
| 6.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9 |
| 51.9% | 3RD DOWN | 37.0% |
| 0.24 | OFF PPA | 0.17 |
| 0.26 | DEF PPA | 0.19 |
| 47.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 37.8% |
| 42.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 48.6% |
| 1.19 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40 |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
| – | RET PROD | 3.8% |
| – | ELO | 1413 |
| – | SP+ | -12.8 |
| – | FPI | -10.1#109 |
THE VENUE
CEFCU StadiumLocationSan Jose, CA
Capacity30,456
SurfaceTurf
Opened1933
Elevation93 ft
FAN NEWS
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