Central Michigan @ Ball State, Week 13 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·BALL radioCardinal Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Ball State a 36% chance.
SeriesBall State leads 26–22–1 · Central Michigan won the last meeting, 37–34 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) CMU
Home-field edge BALL
Model projection CMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Central Michigan @ Ball State
Your sims:Sims: BALL 0, CMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Central Michigan
Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)
Lvs Northwestern34–7Lvs Toledo21–3Wat Kent State28–16Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Ball State vs Central Michigan Stats ComparisonBall State vs CMU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Ball StateBALL | Central MichiganCMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.8#132 | PPG | 22.5#105 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 23.5#54 |
| 271.7#134 | YDS/G | 332.2#112 |
| 138#131 | PASS/G | 167.1#118 |
| 133.7#96 | RUSH/G | 165.1#59 |
| 4.5#133 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 33.5%#119 | 3RD DOWN | 34.1%#115 |
| 0.18#87 | DEF PPA | 0.08#32 |
| 32.5%#136 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.6%#91 |
| 44.7%#113 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.3%#51 |
| 5.7% | RET PROD | 54.0% |
| 1.32#29 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#118 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| -0.00#133 | OFF PPA | 0.14#88 |
| -25.1 | SP+ | -15.1 |
| -17.3#134 | FPI | -12.8#120 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Scheumann StadiumLocationMuncie, IN
Capacity22,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1967
Elevation937 ft
FAN NEWS
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