Colgate @ Central Michigan, Week 2 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 2 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Central Michigan opens a 23.5-point favorite. Our model gives Central Michigan a 93% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY
CMU 93% COLG 7%
PROJECTED FINAL
CMU win
93%
One-score game
14%
Cover CMU −23.5
52%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge CMU
Market lean CMU
Model projection CMU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Colgate @ Central Michigan

Your sims:Sims: CMU 0, COLG 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Central Michigan93%
  2. Colgate7%
CFB Vibes ModelCMU 93%MarketCMU 93%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $15,498 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only

SPREADCOLG +23.5CMU −23.5
TOTALOver 49.5Under 49.5
MONEYLINECOLG +1300CMU −2800

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice

Colgate vs Central Michigan Stats ComparisonColgate vs CMU Stats Comparison

ColgateCOLGCentral MichiganCMU
29.5PPG7
12PA/G38
438YDS/G149
52.0%3RD DOWN18.2%
ELO1259

THE VENUE

Kelly/Shorts Stadium
LocationMount Pleasant, MI
Capacity30,255
SurfaceTurf
Opened1972
Elevation790 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#1@#4
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 55% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
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@#3
CFB VIBES MODELND 99% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#6@
CFB VIBES MODELORE 93% to win
86Games in Week 2Full schedule →