Fresno State @ San José State, Week 3 · 2026
@
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives San José State a 27% chance.
SeriesFresno State leads 39–31 · Fresno State won the last meeting, 41–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FRES
Home-field edge SJSU
Model projection FRES
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Fresno State @ San José State
Your sims:Sims: SJSU 0, FRES 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3San José State
San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat USC42–26San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
San José State vs Fresno State Stats ComparisonSJSU vs Fresno State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| San José StateSJSU | Fresno StateFRES | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4#113 | PPG | 25.8#81 |
| 32.5#121 | PA/G | 18.8#16 |
| 403.2#50 | YDS/G | 354.1#94 |
| 283.2#13 | PASS/G | 183.4#112 |
| 120.1#111 | RUSH/G | 170.7#54 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#92 |
| 42.6%#39 | 3RD DOWN | 36.4%#100 |
| 0.17#64 | OFF PPA | 0.10#103 |
| 0.20#105 | DEF PPA | 0.08#31 |
| 43.2%#57 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.7%#105 |
| 42.4%#83 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.1%#31 |
| 3.8% | RET PROD | 38.3% |
| 1.25#62 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#87 |
| −13#133 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| -15.7 | SP+ | -1.4 |
| -14.3#124 | FPI | -2.5#77 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
CEFCU StadiumLocationSan Jose, CA
Capacity30,456
SurfaceTurf
Opened1933
Elevation93 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about San José State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 3 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
