Duquesne at Air Force: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

MWC · Week 1

UTEP @ OUFri, Sep 4 · 7:00 PM CDT DUQ @ AFSat, Sep 5 · 11:00 AM MDT FOR @ NDSUSat, Sep 5 · 2:30 PM CDTThe CW NIU @ IOWASat, Sep 5 · 3:15 PM CDTBTN WYO @ CSUSat, Sep 5 · 4:00 PM MDTUSA Net UNLV @ HAWSat, Sep 5 · 4:00 PM HSTThe CW CMU @ UNMSat, Sep 5 · 8:00 PM MDTFS1 WKU @ NEVSat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM PDTCBSSN

All scores

DUQ@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · Sat, Sep 5 · 11:00 AM MDT11:00 AM MDT

DuquesneDUQ–

Air ForceAF0–0·MWC

StreamingMW+

AF radioFalcon Radio Network

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Air Force opens a 28.5-point favorite. Our model gives Air Force a 99% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

AF 99% DUQ 1%

PROJECTED FINAL

Air Force

Duquesne

AF win
99% One-score game
4% Cover AF −28.5
70%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge AF

Market lean AF

Model projection AF

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.

Duquesne @ Air Force

Your sims:Sims: AF 0, DUQ 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Duquesne2025: 0–2

Lat Akron51–7 Lat Pittsburgh61–9

Air Force

2025: 4–8 (3–5 MWC)

Wat Colorado State42–21 Lvs New Mexico20–3 Lat UConn26–16

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

Air Force98%
Duquesne3%

CFB Vibes ModelAF 99%MarketAF 98%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $17,218 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADDUQ +28.5AF −28.5

TOTALOver 58.5Under 58.5

MONEYLINEDUQ +4000AF −50000

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

Duquesne vs Air Force Stats ComparisonDuquesne vs Air Force Stats Comparison

2025 stats

DuquesneDUQ		Air ForceAF
–	PPG	29.8#48
–	PA/G	30.3#109
–	YDS/G	406.7#46
–	PASS/G	145.2#128
–	RUSH/G	261.5#3
–	YDS/PLAY	6#38
–	3RD DOWN	51.0%#7
–	TO MARGIN	−2#81
–	OFF PPA	0.29#20
–	DEF PPA	0.40#136
–	OFF SUCCESS	47.6%#14
–	DEF SUCCESS	49.4%#134
–	RET PROD	57.4%
–	EXPLOSIVE	1.20#98
–	SP+	-3.2
–	FPI	-6.8#93

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Falcon Stadium

LocationColorado Springs, CO

Capacity46,692

SurfaceTurf

Opened1962

Elevation6,643 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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