Georgia State @ App State, Week 10 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDGAST radioPanther Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Georgia State a 11% chance.
SeriesApp State leads 12–0 · App State won the last meeting, 41–20 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) APP
Home-field edge APP
Model projection APP
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Georgia State @ App State
Your sims:Sims: GAST 0, APP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3App State
App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern29–10Lvs Arkansas State30–29Wvs Marshall26–24App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Georgia State vs App State Stats ComparisonGAST vs App State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Georgia StateGAST | App StateAPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.8#119 | PPG | 24.2#91 |
| 37.8#133 | PA/G | 29.8#101 |
| 378.2#77 | YDS/G | 384.9#71 |
| 254.4#38 | PASS/G | 256.5#34 |
| 123.8#107 | RUSH/G | 128.4#102 |
| 5.4#92 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 38.6%#83 | 3RD DOWN | 32.8%#123 |
| 0.13#91 | OFF PPA | 0.10#107 |
| 0.28#133 | DEF PPA | 0.18#86 |
| 40.4%#95 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.9%#86 |
| 46.2%#125 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8%#115 |
| 46.5% | RET PROD | 37.9% |
| 1.25#61 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19#104 |
| −11#127 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| -29.3 | SP+ | -12.7 |
| -15.2#127 | FPI | -9.8#109 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Kidd Brewer StadiumLocationBoone, NC
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation3,252 ft
FAN NEWS
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