Holy Cross @ Miami (OH), Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Miami (OH) opens a 30.5-point favorite. Our model gives Miami (OH) a 98% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
M-OH win
98% One-score game
6% Cover M-OH −30.5
55%
98% One-score game
6% Cover M-OH −30.5
55%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge M-OH
Market lean M-OH
Model projection M-OH
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Holy Cross @ Miami (OH)
Your sims:Sims: M-OH 0, HC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Miami (OH)
Lat Pittsburgh59–14
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelM-OH 98%MarketM-OH 97%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $10,013 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADHC +30.5M-OH −30.5
TOTALOver 49.5Under 49.5
MONEYLINEHC +2200M-OH −8000
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Holy Cross vs Miami (OH) Stats ComparisonHoly Cross vs Miami (OH) Stats Comparison
| Holy CrossHC | Miami (OH)M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | PPG | 14 |
| 35 | PA/G | 59 |
| 360.5 | YDS/G | 289 |
| 288.5 | PASS/G | 261 |
| 72 | RUSH/G | 28 |
| 5.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5 |
| 38.1% | 3RD DOWN | 23.1% |
| 0.01 | OFF PPA | 0.11 |
| 0.37 | DEF PPA | 0.43 |
| 41.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 32.2% |
| 47.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 54.5% |
| 1.16 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.53 |
| −5 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| – | RET PROD | 13.9% |
| – | ELO | 1259 |
| – | SP+ | -10.0 |
| – | FPI | -12.2#117 |
THE VENUE
Yager StadiumLocationOxford, OH
Capacity24,286
SurfaceTurf
Opened1983
Elevation795 ft
FAN NEWS
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