Richmond at NC State: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

PAT · Week 2

VILL @ LOUFri, Sep 11 · 7:00 PM EDTACC Network RICH @ NCSUFri, Sep 11 · 7:00 PM EDTESPNU HC @ M-OHSat, Sep 12 · 1:00 PM EDT COLG @ CMUSat, Sep 12 · 1:00 PM EDT FOR @ CCUSat, Sep 12 · 7:30 PM EDT

All scores

GAME DAY

Week 2 · Fri, Sep 11 · 7:00 PM EDT7:00 PM EDT

RichmondRICH–

NC StateNCSU0–1·ACC

TVESPNU

StreamingESPN App

RICH radioSpider Sports Network

NCSU radioWolfpack Sports Network

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Terms & eligibility

Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

NC State opens a 30.5-point favorite. Our model gives NC State a 98% chance.

SeriesNC State leads 14–1 · NC State won the last meeting, 23–21 · 2013

WIN PROBABILITY

NCSU 98% RICH 2%

PROJECTED FINAL

NC State

Richmond

NCSU win
98% One-score game
6% Cover NCSU −30.5
55%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge NCSU

Market lean NCSU

Model projection NCSU

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.

Richmond @ NC State

Your sims:Sims: NCSU 0, RICH 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

NC State

2026: 0–1 (0–1 ACC)

Lat Virginia34–8

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

NC State97%
Richmond4%

CFB Vibes ModelNCSU 98%MarketNCSU 97%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $172,735 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADRICH +30.5NCSU −30.5

TOTALOver 48.5Under 48.5

MONEYLINERICH +2200NCSU −8000

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice

Richmond vs NC State Stats ComparisonRichmond vs NC State Stats Comparison

RichmondRICH		NC StateNCSU
31.5	PPG	8
17.5	PA/G	34
346.5	YDS/G	168
230	PASS/G	92
116.5	RUSH/G	76
5.4	YDS/PLAY	3.3
39.3%	3RD DOWN	30.8%
0.04	DEF PPA	0.27
37.7%	OFF SUCCESS	31.4%
26.8%	DEF SUCCESS	47.9%
1.38	EXPLOSIVE	0.53
+1	TO MARGIN	−2
0.09	OFF PPA	-0.14
–	RET PROD	59.9%
–	ELO	1506
–	SP+	-0.7
–	FPI	-1.1#71

THE VENUE

Carter-Finley Stadium

LocationRaleigh, NC

Capacity58,000

SurfaceGrass

Opened1966

Elevation384 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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