GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Illinois State a 65% chance.
SeriesNorthern Iowa leads 12–10 · Illinois State won the last meeting, 31–16 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ILST
Home-field edge UNI
Model projection ILST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa
Your sims:Sims: UNI 0, ILST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Illinois State vs Northern Iowa Stats ComparisonILST vs UNI Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Illinois StateILST | Northern IowaUNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 58.5 | PPG | 24 |
| 5 | PA/G | 34 |
| 248 | YDS/G | 350 |
| 128.5 | PASS/G | 287 |
| 119.5 | RUSH/G | 63 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| 68.8% | 3RD DOWN | 50.0% |
| 0.34 | OFF PPA | 0.15 |
| 0.04 | DEF PPA | 0.35 |
| 47.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 50.0% |
| 35.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 52.8% |
| 1.37 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
UNI-DomeLocationCedar Falls, IA
Capacity16,324
SurfaceTurf
Opened1976
Elevation925 ft
FAN NEWS
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