Illinois @ Northwestern, Week 13 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDIllinoisILL0–0·B1G
NU radioNorthwestern Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Northwestern opens a 3.5-point underdog. Our model gives Northwestern a 41% chance.
SeriesIllinois leads 59–55–5 · Illinois won the last meeting, 20–13 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge NU
Market lean ILL
Model projection ILL
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Illinois @ Northwestern
Your sims:Sims: NU 0, ILL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northwestern
Northwestern2025: 7–6 (4–5 B1G)
Wvs Central Michigan34–7Lat Illinois20–13Wvs Minnesota38–35Northwestern2025: 7–6 (4–5 B1G)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADNU +3.5ILL −3.5
TOTALOver 52.5Under 52.5
MONEYLINENU +142ILL −170
DraftKings · updated Sep 2, 12:32 AM ETNot gambling advice
Northwestern vs Illinois Stats ComparisonNorthwestern vs Illinois Stats Comparison
2025 stats| NorthwesternNU | IllinoisILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.4#98 | PPG | 29.4#52 |
| 19.8#23 | PA/G | 23.6#56 |
| 346.8#98 | YDS/G | 373.9#80 |
| 185.9#108 | PASS/G | 235.8#59 |
| 160.9#64 | RUSH/G | 138.2#88 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 42.9%#37 | 3RD DOWN | 42.1%#43 |
| 0.15#84 | OFF PPA | 0.21#39 |
| 0.17#80 | DEF PPA | 0.19#97 |
| 43.0%#60 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.5%#15 |
| 45.1%#123 | DEF SUCCESS | 45.0%#121 |
| 88.5% | RET PROD | 21.1% |
| 1.17#110 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#116 |
| 5.1 | SP+ | 10.4 |
| 1.4#60 | FPI | 6.3#39 |
| −1#77 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ryan FieldLocationEvanston, IL
Capacity35,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2026
Elevation595 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
