GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Dakota State a 82% chance.
SeriesSouth Dakota State leads 10–3 · Indiana State won the last meeting, 24–12 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SDST win
82% One-score game
26%
82% One-score game
26%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SDST
Home-field edge SDST
Model projection SDST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Indiana St @ South Dakota St
Your sims:Sims: SDST 0, INST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Indiana State vs South Dakota State Stats ComparisonINST vs SDST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Indiana StateINST | South Dakota StateSDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | PPG | 44 |
| 33.5 | PA/G | 20.5 |
| 315 | YDS/G | 530 |
| 253 | PASS/G | 260 |
| 62 | RUSH/G | 270 |
| 5.8 | YDS/PLAY | 7.4 |
| 44.4% | 3RD DOWN | 46.4% |
| 0.11 | OFF PPA | 0.38 |
| 0.29 | DEF PPA | 0.11 |
| 30.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 49.3% |
| 42.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 42.4% |
| 2.00 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Dana J. Dykhouse StadiumLocationBrookings, SD
Capacity19,340
SurfaceTurf
Opened2016
Elevation1,627 ft
FAN NEWS
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