Iowa State @ BYU, Week 6 · 2026
@#14
GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·Iowa StateISU0–0·B12
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives BYU a 88% chance.
SeriesIowa State leads 5–1 · BYU won the last meeting, 41–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BYU
Home-field edge BYU
Model projection BYU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Iowa State @ BYU
Your sims:Sims: BYU 0, ISU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
BYU vs Iowa State Stats ComparisonBYU vs Iowa State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| BYUBYU | Iowa StateISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.4#32 | PPG | 27.4#70 |
| 19.1#19 | PA/G | 20.2#26 |
| 400.3#55 | YDS/G | 395.6#60 |
| 221.1#74 | PASS/G | 221.4#73 |
| 179.1#39 | RUSH/G | 174.2#51 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 41.4%#49 | 3RD DOWN | 39.9%#69 |
| +8#18 | TO MARGIN | +4#43 |
| 0.22#33 | OFF PPA | 0.19#52 |
| 0.06#22 | DEF PPA | 0.09#35 |
| 46.0%#27 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.0%#38 |
| 38.5%#33 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.1%#42 |
| 78.5% | RET PROD | 1.7% |
| 1.18#106 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#89 |
| 14.9 | SP+ | -0.4 |
| 13.1#20 | FPI | -0.9#72 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
LaVell Edwards StadiumLocationProvo, UT
Capacity63,470
SurfaceGrass
Opened1964
Elevation4,633 ft
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