GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·JKST radioJSU Sports Network
ALST radioASU / Hornets Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Alabama State a 56% chance.
SeriesJackson State leads 10–9 since 2007 · Jackson State won the last meeting, 38–34 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) JKST
Home-field edge ALST
Model projection ALST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Jackson State @ Alabama State
Your sims:Sims: ALST 0, JKST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Alabama State
Wat Arkansas-Pine Bluff21–15Lvs Florida A&M28–27Lat Bethune-Cookman16–10
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Jackson State vs Alabama State Stats ComparisonJKST vs ALST Stats Comparison
| Jackson StateJKST | Alabama StateALST | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.6 | PPG | 25.7 |
| 22 | PA/G | 17.9 |
| 425 | YDS/G | 281.4 |
| 232.1 | PASS/G | 124.3 |
| 192.9 | RUSH/G | 157.1 |
| 6.2 | YDS/PLAY | 5 |
| 46.4% | 3RD DOWN | 32.9% |
| +5 | TO MARGIN | +4 |
| 0.20 | OFF PPA | 0.03 |
| 42.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.3% |
| 37.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 36.8% |
| 1.33 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14 |
| 0.04 | DEF PPA | -0.01 |
| -35.8 | SRS | -37.1 |
THE VENUE
Hornet StadiumLocationMontgomery, AL
Capacity26,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened2012
Elevation260 ft
FAN NEWS
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