Kansas State @ Cincinnati, Week 4 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDCIN radioBearcats Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Cincinnati a 44% chance.
SeriesCincinnati leads 4–3 · Kansas State won the last meeting, 41–15 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) KSU
Home-field edge CIN
Model projection KSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kansas State @ Cincinnati
Your sims:Sims: CIN 0, KSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Cincinnati vs Kansas State Stats ComparisonCincinnati vs Kansas State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| CincinnatiCIN | Kansas StateKSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.3#43 | PPG | 29.4#52 |
| 25.6#74 | PA/G | 26.7#79 |
| 407.6#43 | YDS/G | 370.6#83 |
| 230.2#62 | PASS/G | 198.3#97 |
| 177.5#42 | RUSH/G | 172.2#53 |
| 6.9#8 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 38.7%#81 | 3RD DOWN | 36.9%#94 |
| 0.30#15 | OFF PPA | 0.21#37 |
| 0.19#93 | DEF PPA | 0.12#56 |
| 46.8%#20 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.6%#91 |
| 43.9%#101 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.4%#45 |
| 8.3% | RET PROD | 71.4% |
| 1.32#30 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.41#6 |
| 3.0 | SP+ | 9.2 |
| 4.4#46 | FPI | 5.1#41 |
| −4#98 | TO MARGIN | +11#8 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Nippert StadiumLocationCincinnati, OH
Capacity40,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1915
Elevation755 ft
FAN NEWS
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