Kansas State @ Cincinnati, Week 4 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDKSU radioWildcat Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Kansas State a 56% chance.
SeriesCincinnati leads 4–3 · Kansas State won the last meeting, 41–15 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) KSU
Home-field edge CIN
Model projection KSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kansas State @ Cincinnati
Your sims:Sims: KSU 0, CIN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kansas State vs Cincinnati Stats ComparisonKansas State vs Cincinnati Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Kansas StateKSU | CincinnatiCIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.4#52 | PPG | 30.3#43 |
| 26.7#79 | PA/G | 25.6#74 |
| 370.6#83 | YDS/G | 407.6#43 |
| 198.3#97 | PASS/G | 230.2#62 |
| 172.2#53 | RUSH/G | 177.5#42 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 6.9#8 |
| 36.9%#94 | 3RD DOWN | 38.7%#81 |
| 0.21#37 | OFF PPA | 0.30#15 |
| 0.12#56 | DEF PPA | 0.19#93 |
| 40.6%#91 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.8%#20 |
| 39.4%#45 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.9%#101 |
| 71.4% | RET PROD | 8.3% |
| 1.41#6 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#30 |
| 9.2 | SP+ | 3.0 |
| 5.1#41 | FPI | 4.4#46 |
| +11#8 | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Nippert StadiumLocationCincinnati, OH
Capacity40,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1915
Elevation755 ft
FAN NEWS
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