Lafayette @ Columbia, Week 3 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 3 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Columbia a 41% chance.

SeriesLafayette leads 8–2 · Lafayette won the last meeting, 38–14 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
LAF 59% COLU 41%
PROJECTED FINAL
COLU win
41%
One-score game
36%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) LAF
Home-field edge COLU
Model projection LAF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Lafayette @ Columbia

Your sims:Sims: COLU 0, LAF 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Lafayette49%
  2. Columbia39%
CFB Vibes ModelLAF 59%MarketLAF 49%

Market 10 points lower than our model

Kalshi · $177 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Columbia vs Lafayette Stats ComparisonColumbia vs Lafayette Stats Comparison

2026 stats
ColumbiaCOLULafayetteLAF
PPG7
PA/G56
YDS/G209
3RD DOWN33.3%

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Lawrence A. Wien Stadium
LocationManhattan, NY
Capacity17,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1984
Elevation36 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 3 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#8@#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 53% to win
#22@#13
CFB VIBES MODELTTU 80% to win
#17@#24
CFB VIBES MODELLOU 55% to win
@#1
CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
#2@
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 86% to win
75Games in Week 3Full schedule →