Lindenwood @ Missouri State, Week 2 · 2026
LIN@
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·LindenwoodLIN–
StreamingESPN+
MOST radioBears Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Missouri State a 78% chance.
SeriesMissouri State leads 1–0 · Missouri State won the last meeting, 28–14 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MOST
Home-field edge MOST
Model projection MOST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Lindenwood @ Missouri State
Your sims:Sims: MOST 0, LIN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Missouri State
Missouri State2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)
Lvs Arkansas State34–28Lvs Louisiana Tech42–30Lat Kennesaw State41–34Missouri State2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Missouri State vs Lindenwood Stats ComparisonMOST vs Lindenwood Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Missouri StateMOST | LindenwoodLIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.6#83 | PPG | – |
| 28.8#91 | PA/G | – |
| 393.4#64 | YDS/G | – |
| 279.7#16 | PASS/G | – |
| 113.7#118 | RUSH/G | – |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 36.3%#101 | 3RD DOWN | – |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.17#66 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.24#122 | DEF PPA | – |
| 39.3%#110 | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 42.6%#87 | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 31.3% | RET PROD | – |
| 1.49#2 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| -19.1 | SP+ | – |
| -10.3#110 | FPI | – |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Plaster Sports ComplexLocationSpringfield, MO
Capacity17,337
SurfaceTurf
Opened1941
Elevation1,320 ft
FAN NEWS
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