Merrimack @ Delaware, Week 1 · 2026

MRMK@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · ·
MerrimackMRMK

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Delaware opens a 28.5-point favorite. Our model gives Delaware a 99% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY
DEL 99% MRMK 1%
PROJECTED FINAL
Merrimack
10
DEL win
99%
One-score game
4%
Cover DEL −28.5
69%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge DEL
Market lean DEL
Model projection DEL
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Merrimack @ Delaware

Your sims:Sims: DEL 0, MRMK 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3
MerrimackMerrimack2025: 0–2
Lat Kennesaw State27–13Lat Kent State21–17

Market-implied win probability

  1. Delaware98%
  2. Merrimack3%
CFB Vibes ModelDEL 99%MarketDEL 98%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $42,426 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

SPREADMRMK +28.5DEL −28.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
MONEYLINEMRMK +3500DEL −20000

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

Merrimack vs Delaware Stats ComparisonMerrimack vs Delaware Stats Comparison

2025 stats
MerrimackMRMKDelawareDEL
PPG29#56
PA/G31#116
YDS/G410.8#39
3RD DOWN41.6%#48

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Delaware Stadium
LocationNewark, DE
Capacity22,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1952
Elevation94 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#24VS#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 67% to win
@#1
CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELORE 94% to win
TNST@#3
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
VS#4
CFB VIBES MODELND 90% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 97% to win
@#6
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#7@
CFB VIBES MODELMIA 94% to win