Miami @ Notre Dame, Week 10 · 2026
#7
@#4
@#4GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·Notre DameND0–0
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Miami opens a 6.5-point underdog. Our model gives Miami a 34% chance.
SeriesNotre Dame leads 18–9–1 · Miami won the last meeting, 27–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge ND
Market lean ND
Model projection ND
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Miami @ Notre Dame
Your sims:Sims: MIA 0, ND 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMIA +6.5ND −6.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5
MONEYLINEMIA +195ND −238
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Miami vs Notre Dame Stats ComparisonMiami vs Notre Dame Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MiamiMIA | Notre DameND | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.9#35 | PPG | 42#2 |
| 14.8#5 | PA/G | 17.6#10 |
| 404.9#48 | YDS/G | 459.5#12 |
| 253.2#41 | PASS/G | 255.1#37 |
| 151.8#77 | RUSH/G | 204.4#17 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 7.5#1 |
| 46.5%#18 | 3RD DOWN | 48.1%#13 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | +13#7 |
| 0.22#32 | OFF PPA | 0.33#6 |
| 0.03#12 | DEF PPA | 0.02#9 |
| 46.8%#20 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.3%#24 |
| 35.9%#13 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.3%#14 |
| 36.9% | RET PROD | 51.2% |
| 1.16#120 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.50#1 |
| 22.0 | SP+ | 26.5 |
| 21.8#7 | FPI | 25.9#3 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Notre Dame StadiumLocationNotre Dame, IN
Capacity80,795
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation730 ft
FAN NEWS
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