Miami @ Stanford, Week 1 · 2026
#7
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@GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·StanfordSTAN1–0·ACC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Miami opens a 24.5-point favorite. Our model gives Miami a 94% chance.
SeriesMiami leads 1–0 · Miami won the last meeting, 42–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) MIA
Home-field edge STAN
Market lean MIA
Model projection MIA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Miami @ Stanford
Your sims:Sims: MIA 0, STAN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Stanford
Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs Hawai'i37–27Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMIA −24.5STAN +24.5
TOTALOver 48.5Under 48.5
MONEYLINEMIA −3600STAN +1500
DraftKings · updated Sep 2, 12:32 AM ETNot gambling advice
Miami vs Stanford Stats ComparisonMiami vs Stanford Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MiamiMIA | StanfordSTAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.9#35 | PPG | 18.8#122 |
| 14.8#5 | PA/G | 29.2#96 |
| 404.9#48 | YDS/G | 307.5#123 |
| 253.2#41 | PASS/G | 222#72 |
| 151.8#77 | RUSH/G | 85.5#132 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7#128 |
| 46.5%#18 | 3RD DOWN | 37.7%#90 |
| 0.22#32 | OFF PPA | 0.06#119 |
| 0.03#12 | DEF PPA | 0.18#85 |
| 46.8%#20 | OFF SUCCESS | 36.5%#123 |
| 35.9%#13 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.5%#84 |
| 36.9% | RET PROD | 21.3% |
| 1.16#120 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#83 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
| 22.0 | SP+ | -2.3 |
| 21.8#7 | FPI | -3.3#80 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Stanford StadiumLocationStanford, CA
Capacity50,424
SurfaceGrass
Opened2006
Elevation60 ft
FAN NEWS
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