Missouri State @ Florida International, Week 10 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·FIU radioPanther Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Florida International a 70% chance.
SeriesMissouri State leads 1–0 · Missouri State won the last meeting, 28–21 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
FIU win
70% One-score game
35%
70% One-score game
35%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FIU
Home-field edge FIU
Model projection FIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Missouri St @ Florida International
Your sims:Sims: FIU 0, MOST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida International
Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)
Lvs UTSA57–20Wvs Sam Houston56–16Wvs Jacksonville State27–21Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)Missouri State
Missouri State2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)
Lvs Arkansas State34–28Lvs Louisiana Tech42–30Lat Kennesaw State41–34Missouri State2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Florida International vs Missouri State Stats ComparisonFIU vs MOST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Florida InternationalFIU | Missouri StateMOST | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5#61 | PPG | 25.6#83 |
| 30#105 | PA/G | 28.8#91 |
| 397#59 | YDS/G | 393.4#64 |
| 215.4#87 | PASS/G | 279.7#16 |
| 181.6#36 | RUSH/G | 113.7#118 |
| 5.6#74 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 35.8%#103 | 3RD DOWN | 36.3%#101 |
| 0.16#78 | OFF PPA | 0.17#66 |
| 0.15#66 | DEF PPA | 0.24#122 |
| 40.7%#89 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.3%#110 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.6%#87 |
| 31.6% | RET PROD | 31.3% |
| 1.31#35 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.49#2 |
| +0#72 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| -14.5 | SP+ | -19.1 |
| -12.6#119 | FPI | -10.3#110 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Pitbull StadiumLocationMiami, FL
Capacity20,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1995
Elevation20 ft
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