Montana State @ Northern Colorado, Week 11 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·StreamingESPN+
UNCO radioUNC Football Radio / Pirate Radio
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Colorado a 23% chance.
SeriesMontana State leads 13–2 · Montana State won the last meeting, 55–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MTST
Home-field edge UNCO
Model projection MTST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Montana St @ Northern Colorado
Your sims:Sims: UNCO 0, MTST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Colorado vs Montana State Stats ComparisonUNCO vs MTST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Northern ColoradoUNCO | Montana StateMTST | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | PPG | 52.5 |
| 34 | PA/G | 12 |
| 431 | YDS/G | 472.5 |
| 246 | PASS/G | 319.5 |
| 185 | RUSH/G | 153 |
| 5.7 | YDS/PLAY | 7.4 |
| 53.1% | 3RD DOWN | 65.0% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.28 | OFF PPA | 0.43 |
| 42.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 58.0% |
| 45.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 33.9% |
| 1.46 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14 |
| 0.28 | DEF PPA | -0.11 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Nottingham FieldLocationGreeley, CO
Capacity8,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1995
Elevation4,775 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Northern Colorado?
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