GAME DAY
Week 11 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Indiana State a 92% chance.
SeriesMurray State leads 4–3 since 2003 · Murray State won the last meeting, 31–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) INST
Home-field edge INST
Model projection INST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Murray State @ Indiana State
Your sims:Sims: INST 0, MUR 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Murray State
Murray State2026: 1–7
Lat South Dakota State42–9Lvs South Dakota48–20Lat North Dakota55–28
Indiana State
Indiana State2026: 2–6
Lat Illinois State17–10Lvs Youngstown State57–24Lat South Dakota44–14
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Murray State vs Indiana State Stats ComparisonMurray State vs INST Stats Comparison
| Murray StateMUR | Indiana StateINST | |
|---|---|---|
| 14.8 | PPG | 25.5 |
| 41.8 | PA/G | 34.8 |
| 276.8 | YDS/G | 380.9 |
| 161.5 | PASS/G | 265.8 |
| 115.2 | RUSH/G | 115.1 |
| 4.7 | YDS/PLAY | 6 |
| 30.3% | 3RD DOWN | 37.7% |
| 0.26 | DEF PPA | 0.22 |
| 36.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 35.9% |
| 50.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 44.5% |
| 1.13 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.49 |
| −5 | TO MARGIN | −7 |
| -0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.06 |
| -44.7 | SRS | -25.0 |
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationTerre Haute, IN
Capacity12,764
SurfaceTurf
Opened1925
Elevation510 ft
FAN NEWS
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