Navy @ UAB, Week 4 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 4 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Navy a 82% chance.
SeriesNavy leads 3–0 · Navy won the last meeting, 38–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NAVY
Home-field edge UAB
Model projection NAVY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Navy @ UAB
Your sims:Sims: NAVY 0, UAB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Navy vs UAB Stats ComparisonNavy vs UAB Stats Comparison
2025 stats| NavyNAVY | UABUAB | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.5#30 | PPG | 26.4#77 |
| 25#69 | PA/G | 38.2#135 |
| 416.1#33 | YDS/G | 404.3#49 |
| 130#133 | PASS/G | 265.6#27 |
| 286.1#1 | RUSH/G | 138.8#87 |
| 6.6#18 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 51.8%#4 | 3RD DOWN | 46.4%#20 |
| 0.30#15 | OFF PPA | 0.18#58 |
| 0.21#110 | DEF PPA | 0.32#135 |
| 49.0%#8 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.2%#57 |
| 40.4%#54 | DEF SUCCESS | 48.8%#132 |
| 13.8% | RET PROD | 79.6% |
| 1.24#64 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#39 |
| +1#66 | TO MARGIN | −12#129 |
| 1.2 | SP+ | -17.5 |
| -0.7#69 | FPI | -15.5#128 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Protective StadiumLocationBirmingham, AL
Capacity45,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2021
Elevation614 ft
FAN NEWS
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