North Dakota State @ UNLV, Week 6 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWhat's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge UNLV
Model projection UNLV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Dakota State @ UNLV
Your sims:Sims: UNLV 0, NDSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UNLV
UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lvs Memphis27–21UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)North Dakota State
North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)
Wvs Jacksonville State33–7North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UNLV vs North Dakota State Stats ComparisonUNLV vs NDSU Stats Comparison
| UNLVUNLV | North Dakota StateNDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | PPG | 33 |
| 27 | PA/G | 7 |
| 460 | YDS/G | 373 |
| 291 | PASS/G | 164 |
| 169 | RUSH/G | 209 |
| 5.8 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| 20.0% | 3RD DOWN | 35.7% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.09 | OFF PPA | 0.22 |
| 33.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 42.0% |
| 47.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 30.9% |
| 1.46 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.10 |
| 0.29 | DEF PPA | -0.32 |
| 15.4% | RET PROD | – |
| 3.6 | SP+ | -1.8 |
| 1.8#58 | FPI | -8.3#100 |
THE VENUE
Allegiant StadiumLocationLas Vegas, NV
Capacity65,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation2,185 ft
FAN NEWS
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