GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·StreamingESPN+
UNCO radioUNC Football Radio / Pirate Radio
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Arizona a 64% chance.
SeriesNorthern Arizona leads 13–5 since 2006 · Northern Arizona won the last meeting, 49–10 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
NAU win
64% One-score game
36%
64% One-score game
36%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) NAU
Home-field edge NAU
Model projection NAU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona
Your sims:Sims: NAU 0, UNCO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northern Colorado
Lat UC Davis33–6Wvs Cal Poly28–18Lat Eastern Washington31–22
Northern Arizona
Wvs Portland State38–25Wvs Montana49–44Wat Idaho State38–31
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Colorado vs Northern Arizona Stats ComparisonUNCO vs NAU Stats Comparison
| Northern ColoradoUNCO | Northern ArizonaNAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.7 | PPG | 31.6 |
| 26.3 | PA/G | 30.1 |
| 385.6 | YDS/G | 397.5 |
| 212 | PASS/G | 245.1 |
| 173.6 | RUSH/G | 152.4 |
| 5.7 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2 |
| 43.0% | 3RD DOWN | 34.7% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +10 |
| 0.08 | OFF PPA | 0.13 |
| 0.19 | DEF PPA | 0.19 |
| 39.8% | OFF SUCCESS | 45.9% |
| 45.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 52.3% |
| 1.35 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16 |
| -27.7 | SRS | -25.6 |
THE VENUE
Walkup SkydomeLocationFlagstaff, AZ
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1977
Elevation6,883 ft
FAN NEWS
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