GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·StreamingESPN+
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Arizona a 69% chance.
SeriesNorthern Arizona leads 13–5 · Northern Arizona won the last meeting, 49–10 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
NAU win
69% One-score game
32%
69% One-score game
32%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) NAU
Home-field edge NAU
Model projection NAU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona
Your sims:Sims: NAU 0, UNCO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Colorado vs Northern Arizona Stats ComparisonUNCO vs NAU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Northern ColoradoUNCO | Northern ArizonaNAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | PPG | 20.5 |
| 34 | PA/G | 31 |
| 431 | YDS/G | 279 |
| 246 | PASS/G | 182 |
| 185 | RUSH/G | 97 |
| 5.7 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7 |
| 53.1% | 3RD DOWN | 29.6% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| 0.28 | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| 42.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 33.3% |
| 45.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 52.3% |
| 1.46 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13 |
| 0.28 | OFF PPA | -0.01 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Walkup SkydomeLocationFlagstaff, AZ
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1977
Elevation6,883 ft
FAN NEWS
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