Northern Illinois @ Georgia State, Week 4 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDGAST radioPanther Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NIU
Home-field edge GAST
Model projection NIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Illinois @ Georgia St
Your sims:Sims: GAST 0, NIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois2025: 3–9 (2–6 MAC)
Lvs Kent State35–31Lvs Western Michigan35–19Wat Massachusetts45–3Northern Illinois2025: 3–9 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Georgia State vs Northern Illinois Stats ComparisonGAST vs NIU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Georgia StateGAST | Northern IllinoisNIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.8#119 | PPG | 17.1#129 |
| 37.8#133 | PA/G | 24.3#64 |
| 378.2#77 | YDS/G | 284.4#133 |
| 254.4#38 | PASS/G | 98.8#134 |
| 123.8#107 | RUSH/G | 185.6#29 |
| 5.4#92 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| 38.6%#83 | 3RD DOWN | 31.8%#129 |
| 0.13#91 | OFF PPA | 0.05#125 |
| 0.28#133 | DEF PPA | 0.19#89 |
| 40.4%#95 | OFF SUCCESS | 34.7%#131 |
| 46.2%#125 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.4%#109 |
| 46.5% | RET PROD | 43.7% |
| 1.25#61 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#64 |
| −11#127 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| -29.3 | SP+ | -17.2 |
| -15.2#127 | FPI | -14.5#125 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Center Parc StadiumLocationAtlanta, GA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation942 ft
FAN NEWS
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