Northern Iowa @ Murray State, Week 12 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·StreamingESPN+
UNI radioPanther Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Iowa a 54% chance.
SeriesNorthern Iowa leads 1–0 · Northern Iowa won the last meeting, 31–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UNI
Home-field edge MUR
Model projection UNI
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Iowa @ Murray State
Your sims:Sims: UNI 0, MUR 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Iowa vs Murray State Stats ComparisonUNI vs Murray State Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Northern IowaUNI | Murray StateMUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | PPG | 14 |
| 34 | PA/G | 33 |
| 350 | YDS/G | 305 |
| 287 | PASS/G | 201 |
| 63 | RUSH/G | 104 |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3 |
| 50.0% | 3RD DOWN | 32.0% |
| 0.15 | OFF PPA | 0.07 |
| 0.35 | DEF PPA | 0.32 |
| 50.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 40.5% |
| 52.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8% |
| 1.14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Roy Stewart StadiumLocationMurray, KY
Capacity16,800
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation501 ft
FAN NEWS
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