Portland State @ Oregon, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Portland State a 1% chance.
SeriesOregon leads 6–0 · Oregon won the last meeting, 81–7 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ORE
Home-field edge ORE
Model projection ORE
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Portland State @ Oregon
Your sims:Sims: PRST 0, ORE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Oregon
Wvs Boise State34–27
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Portland State vs Oregon Stats ComparisonPRST vs Oregon Stats Comparison
| Portland StatePRST | OregonORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | PPG | 34 |
| 42 | PA/G | 27 |
| 366 | YDS/G | 497 |
| 274 | PASS/G | 378 |
| 92 | RUSH/G | 119 |
| 4.7 | YDS/PLAY | 7.9 |
| 34.3% | 3RD DOWN | 33.3% |
| 0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.28 |
| 0.16 | DEF PPA | 0.11 |
| 42.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 45.3% |
| 47.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 35.8% |
| 1.03 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.51 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| – | RET PROD | 75.3% |
| – | ELO | 1873 |
| – | SP+ | 23.9 |
| – | FPI | 22.7#8 |
THE VENUE
Autzen StadiumLocationEugene, OR
Capacity54,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1967
Elevation418 ft
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