San Diego State @ Oregon State, Week 6 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·TVUSA Net
ORST radioBeaver Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Oregon State a 44% chance.
SeriesOregon State leads 5–2 · Oregon State won the last meeting, 21–0 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SDSU
Home-field edge ORST
Model projection SDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
San Diego State @ Oregon State
Your sims:Sims: ORST 0, SDSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Oregon State
Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)
Lat Washington State32–8Lat Tulsa31–14Lvs Sam Houston21–17Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)San Diego State
San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)
Lvs North Texas49–47Lat New Mexico23–17 (OT)Wvs San José State25–3San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Oregon State vs San Diego State Stats ComparisonOregon State vs SDSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Oregon StateORST | San Diego StateSDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2#125 | PPG | 26.4#77 |
| 29.4#98 | PA/G | 15.4#6 |
| 352.7#95 | YDS/G | 356#91 |
| 225.4#66 | PASS/G | 157.9#125 |
| 127.2#103 | RUSH/G | 198.9#19 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 35.9%#102 | 3RD DOWN | 31.4%#130 |
| 0.06#120 | OFF PPA | 0.12#95 |
| 42.4%#67 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.2%#81 |
| 38.8%#38 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.4%#9 |
| 57.9% | RET PROD | 98.7% |
| 1.07#135 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#106 |
| −10#123 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.18#87 | DEF PPA | -0.02#3 |
| -5.6 | SP+ | 0.7 |
| -8.1#98 | FPI | 1.4#59 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Reser StadiumLocationCorvallis, OR
Capacity43,363
SurfaceTurf
Opened1953
Elevation220 ft
FAN NEWS
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