San Diego @ St. Thomas (MN), Week 4 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 4 · ·USD radioTorero Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives San Diego a 36% chance.
SeriesSt. Thomas (MN) leads 3–2 · San Diego won the last meeting, 30–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) STMN
Home-field edge STMN
Model projection STMN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
San Diego @ St. Thomas (MN)
Your sims:Sims: USD 0, STMN 0
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
San Diego vs St. Thomas (MN) Stats ComparisonSan Diego vs STMN Stats Comparison
2026 stats| San DiegoUSD | St. Thomas (MN)STMN | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | PPG | 20.5 |
| 49 | PA/G | 35.5 |
| 328 | YDS/G | 307.5 |
| 182 | PASS/G | 202.5 |
| 146 | RUSH/G | 105 |
| 4.9 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3 |
| 23.1% | 3RD DOWN | 39.3% |
| 0.38 | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| 35.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 37.2% |
| 51.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 51.1% |
| 0.87 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| -0.03 | OFF PPA | 0.02 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
O'Shaughnessy StadiumLocationSaint Paul, MN
Capacity5,025
SurfaceTurf
Opened1948
Elevation778 ft
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