San José State @ Hawai'i, Week 5 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 5 · ·StreamingMW+
HAW radioHawaii Sports Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Hawai'i a 85% chance.
SeriesSan José State leads 22–21–1 · San José State won the last meeting, 45–38 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) HAW
Home-field edge HAW
Model projection HAW
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
San José State @ Hawai'i
Your sims:Sims: HAW 0, SJSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Hawai'i
Hawai'i2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat Stanford37–27Hawai'i2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)San José State
San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat USC42–26San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Hawai'i vs San José State Stats ComparisonHawai'i vs SJSU Stats Comparison
| Hawai'iHAW | San José StateSJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | PPG | 26 |
| 37 | PA/G | 42 |
| 322 | YDS/G | 336 |
| 276 | PASS/G | 234 |
| 46 | RUSH/G | 102 |
| 4.4 | YDS/PLAY | 6 |
| 41.2% | 3RD DOWN | 45.5% |
| 0.05 | OFF PPA | 0.22 |
| 0.33 | DEF PPA | 0.39 |
| 35.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9% |
| 45.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 66.2% |
| 64.5% | RET PROD | 3.8% |
| 1.26 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| -2.6 | SP+ | -15.7 |
| -2.4#76 | FPI | -14.3#124 |
THE VENUE
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics ComplexLocationHonolulu, HI
Capacity15,194
SurfaceTurf
Opened2015
Elevation66 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Hawai'i?
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