Southern Utah @ Colorado State, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Colorado State opens a 20.5-point favorite. Our model gives Colorado State a 93% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
CSU win
93% One-score game
16% Cover CSU −20.5
56%
93% One-score game
16% Cover CSU −20.5
56%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge CSU
Market lean CSU
Model projection CSU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Southern Utah @ Colorado State
Your sims:Sims: CSU 0, SUU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Colorado State
Wvs Wyoming35–13
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelCSU 93%MarketCSU 92%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $2,121 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADSUU +20.5CSU −20.5
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
MONEYLINESUU +1100CSU −2100
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Southern Utah vs Colorado State Stats ComparisonSUU vs CSU Stats Comparison
| Southern UtahSUU | Colorado StateCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | PPG | 35 |
| 35 | PA/G | 13 |
| 512 | YDS/G | 396 |
| 198.5 | PASS/G | 242 |
| 313.5 | RUSH/G | 154 |
| 6.7 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9 |
| 46.4% | 3RD DOWN | 46.7% |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | +4 |
| 0.20 | OFF PPA | 0.30 |
| 46.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 48.5% |
| 40.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 41.8% |
| 1.28 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21 |
| 0.23 | DEF PPA | -0.03 |
| – | RET PROD | 39.6% |
| – | ELO | 1336 |
| – | SP+ | -7.5 |
| – | FPI | -7.9#102 |
THE VENUE
Canvas StadiumLocationFort Collins, CO
Capacity36,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation5,014 ft
FAN NEWS
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