Stephen F. Austin @ Abilene Christian, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Stephen F. Austin a 45% chance.
SeriesStephen F. Austin leads 9–5 · Stephen F. Austin won the last meeting, 41–34 · 2025
45% One-score game
37%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: SFA 0, ACU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Market 20 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $234 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Stephen F. Austin vs Abilene Christian Stats ComparisonSFA vs ACU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Stephen F. AustinSFA | Abilene ChristianACU | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | PPG | 12 |
| 17 | PA/G | 27 |
| 436.5 | YDS/G | 276 |
| 240 | PASS/G | 163 |
| 196.5 | RUSH/G | 113 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 4.5 |
| 44.8% | 3RD DOWN | 39.3% |
| 0.16 | DEF PPA | 0.20 |
| 44.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 29.4% |
| 39.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 44.7% |
| 1.16 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37 |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
| 0.17 | OFF PPA | -0.01 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
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