Nicholls @ Sam Houston, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Sam Houston a 71% chance.
SeriesSam Houston leads 12–3 · Sam Houston won the last meeting, 71–17 · 2020
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SHSU
Home-field edge SHSU
Model projection SHSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Nicholls @ Sam Houston
Your sims:Sims: SHSU 0, NICH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Nicholls
Lat Kansas State71–3
Sam Houston
Lat Troy24–21
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Nicholls vs Sam Houston Stats ComparisonNicholls vs Sam Houston Stats Comparison
| NichollsNICH | Sam HoustonSHSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5 | PPG | 21 |
| 40.5 | PA/G | 24 |
| 318.5 | YDS/G | 373 |
| 188.5 | PASS/G | 335 |
| 130 | RUSH/G | 38 |
| 4.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3 |
| 34.4% | 3RD DOWN | 42.9% |
| 0.26 | DEF PPA | 0.16 |
| 35.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.1% |
| 52.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 33.3% |
| 1.35 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21 |
| +4 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| -0.03 | OFF PPA | 0.17 |
| – | RET PROD | 57.7% |
| – | ELO | 1164 |
| – | SP+ | -21.5 |
| – | FPI | -16.6#128 |
THE VENUE
Elliott T. Bowers StadiumLocationHuntsville, TX
Capacity14,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1986
Elevation419 ft
FAN NEWS
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