The Citadel at VMI: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

GAME DAY

Week 11 · Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM EST12:00 PM EST

The CitadelCIT–

VMIVMI–

StreamingESPN+

CIT radioCitadel Sports Network

VMI radioVMI Sports Network / 3WZ

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives The Citadel a 75% chance.

SeriesThe Citadel leads 16–3 since 2003 · The Citadel won the last meeting, 35–24 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY

CIT 75% VMI 25%

PROJECTED FINAL

The Citadel

VMI

VMI win
25% One-score game
33%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) CIT

Home-field edge VMI

Model projection CIT

Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.

The Citadel @ VMI

Your sims:Sims: VMI 0, CIT 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

The Citadel

2026: 2–6

Lvs Tennessee Tech28–13 Lat Texas A&M41–0 Lvs East Tennessee State34–16

VMI

2026: 0–8

Lvs East Tennessee State38–0 Lat Wofford41–14 Lvs Mercer54–3

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

The Citadel vs VMI Stats ComparisonThe Citadel vs VMI Stats Comparison

The CitadelCIT		VMIVMI
18.5	PPG	8
33.8	PA/G	41.2
296.5	YDS/G	191.1
97.4	PASS/G	67.4
199.1	RUSH/G	123.8
4.8	YDS/PLAY	3.5
38.5%	3RD DOWN	25.0%
0.20	DEF PPA	0.31
37.4%	OFF SUCCESS	24.4%
46.8%	DEF SUCCESS	52.1%
1.25	EXPLOSIVE	1.27
+1	TO MARGIN	−3
0.02	OFF PPA	-0.22
-39.4	SRS	-54.5

THE VENUE

Alumni Memorial Field

LocationLexington, VA

Capacity10,000

SurfaceGrass

Opened1962

Elevation968 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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