Toledo @ Eastern Michigan, Week 7 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 7 · TBDEMU radioEagle Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Eastern Michigan a 43% chance.
SeriesToledo leads 37–13 · Toledo won the last meeting, 29–28 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TOL
Home-field edge EMU
Model projection TOL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan
Your sims:Sims: EMU 0, TOL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan2026: 1–0 (1–0 MAC)
Wvs Sacramento State28–17Eastern Michigan2026: 1–0 (1–0 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Eastern Michigan vs Toledo Stats ComparisonEMU vs Toledo Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Eastern MichiganEMU | ToledoTOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.1#92 | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 13.3#4 |
| 377.5#78 | YDS/G | 415.8#34 |
| 234.8#61 | PASS/G | 238.1#57 |
| 142.8#82 | RUSH/G | 177.7#41 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#27 |
| 41.0%#53 | 3RD DOWN | 40.2%#64 |
| 0.20#46 | OFF PPA | 0.20#43 |
| 42.7%#64 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.6%#43 |
| 44.0%#103 | DEF SUCCESS | 33.1%#4 |
| 72.1% | RET PROD | 66.3% |
| 1.23#69 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#87 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| 0.25#124 | DEF PPA | -0.08#1 |
| -16.1 | SP+ | -9.1 |
| -16.3#131 | FPI | -3.0#79 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Rynearson StadiumLocationYpsilanti, MI
Capacity30,200
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation791 ft
FAN NEWS
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