San José State @ Eastern Michigan, Week 1 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·StreamingESPN+
EMU radioEagle Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Eastern Michigan opens a 3-point favorite. Our model gives Eastern Michigan a 57% chance.
SeriesEastern Michigan leads 2–0 · Eastern Michigan won the last meeting, 41–27 · 2022
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) SJSU
Home-field edge EMU
Market lean EMU
Model projection EMU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
San José St @ Eastern Michigan
Your sims:Sims: EMU 0, SJSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan2026: 1–0 (1–0 MAC)
Wvs Sacramento State28–17Eastern Michigan2026: 1–0 (1–0 MAC)San José State
San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat USC42–26San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADEMU −3SJSU +3
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
MONEYLINEEMU −155SJSU +130
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Eastern Michigan vs San José State Stats ComparisonEMU vs SJSU Stats Comparison
| Eastern MichiganEMU | San José StateSJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | PPG | 26 |
| 17 | PA/G | 42 |
| 348 | YDS/G | 336 |
| 279 | PASS/G | 234 |
| 69 | RUSH/G | 102 |
| 5.1 | YDS/PLAY | 6 |
| 33.3% | 3RD DOWN | 45.5% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.06 | OFF PPA | 0.22 |
| 41.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9% |
| 34.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 66.2% |
| 72.1% | RET PROD | 3.8% |
| 1.26 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22 |
| -0.08 | DEF PPA | 0.39 |
| -16.1 | SP+ | -15.7 |
| -16.3#131 | FPI | -14.3#124 |
THE VENUE
Rynearson StadiumLocationYpsilanti, MI
Capacity30,200
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation791 ft
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