Tulsa @ Navy, Week 6 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Tulsa a 26% chance.
SeriesNavy leads 9–2 · Navy won the last meeting, 42–23 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NAVY
Home-field edge NAVY
Model projection NAVY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Tulsa @ Navy
Your sims:Sims: TLSA 0, NAVY 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Tulsa vs Navy Stats ComparisonTulsa vs Navy Stats Comparison
2025 stats| TulsaTLSA | NavyNAVY | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.2#100 | PPG | 31.5#30 |
| 28.9#94 | PA/G | 25#69 |
| 398.5#57 | YDS/G | 416.1#33 |
| 222.5#71 | PASS/G | 130#133 |
| 176#48 | RUSH/G | 286.1#1 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 6.6#18 |
| 37.9%#88 | 3RD DOWN | 51.8%#4 |
| 0.11#99 | OFF PPA | 0.30#15 |
| 0.15#68 | DEF PPA | 0.21#110 |
| 40.5%#93 | OFF SUCCESS | 49.0%#8 |
| 42.5%#84 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.4%#54 |
| 41.3% | RET PROD | 13.8% |
| 1.26#52 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#64 |
| −8#117 | TO MARGIN | +1#66 |
| -6.1 | SP+ | 1.2 |
| -9.0#105 | FPI | -0.7#69 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial StadiumLocationAnnapolis, MD
Capacity34,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1959
Elevation35 ft
FAN NEWS
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