Oklahoma State @ Tulsa, Week 1 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Tulsa opens a 13.5-point underdog. Our model gives Tulsa a 21% chance.
SeriesOklahoma State leads 44–28–5 · Tulsa won the last meeting, 19–12 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) EVEN
Home-field edge TLSA
Market lean OKST
Model projection OKST
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Oklahoma State @ Tulsa
Your sims:Sims: TLSA 0, OKST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADTLSA +13.5OKST −13.5
TOTALOver 59.5Under 59.5
MONEYLINETLSA +400OKST −535
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Tulsa vs Oklahoma State Stats ComparisonTulsa vs OKST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| TulsaTLSA | Oklahoma StateOKST | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.2#100 | PPG | 14.2#134 |
| 28.9#94 | PA/G | 33.3#126 |
| 398.5#57 | YDS/G | 292.5#130 |
| 222.5#71 | PASS/G | 174.1#116 |
| 176#48 | RUSH/G | 118.4#114 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| 37.9%#88 | 3RD DOWN | 34.8%#108 |
| 0.15#68 | DEF PPA | 0.26#126 |
| 40.5%#93 | OFF SUCCESS | 34.2%#133 |
| 42.5%#84 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.2%#106 |
| 1.26#52 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#111 |
| −8#117 | TO MARGIN | −5#103 |
| 0.11#99 | OFF PPA | -0.01#135 |
| 41.3% | RET PROD | 0.0% |
| -6.1 | SP+ | 6.9 |
| -9.0#105 | FPI | 3.3#54 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Chapman StadiumLocationTulsa, OK
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation773 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
