GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Southeast Missouri State a 53% chance.
SeriesUT Martin leads 13–9 · UT Martin won the last meeting, 34–10 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SEMO win
53% One-score game
38%
53% One-score game
38%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UTM
Home-field edge SEMO
Model projection SEMO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri St
Your sims:Sims: SEMO 0, UTM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UT Martin vs Southeast Missouri State Stats ComparisonUT Martin vs SEMO Stats Comparison
2026 stats| UT MartinUTM | Southeast Missouri StateSEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | PPG | 16.5 |
| 21.5 | PA/G | 29.5 |
| 391.5 | YDS/G | 268 |
| 204 | PASS/G | 208 |
| 187.5 | RUSH/G | 60 |
| 6.5 | YDS/PLAY | 4 |
| 40.0% | 3RD DOWN | 38.7% |
| 0.31 | OFF PPA | 0.07 |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| 46.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 31.1% |
| 34.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 34.2% |
| 1.22 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.52 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Houck FieldLocationCape Girardeau, MO
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation400 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about UT Martin or Southeast Missouri State?
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